DC/MD/VA/WV OBS for 10/14-10/19 Noreaster BWI MAX OF 43 ON 10/16, EARLIEST 43 OR COLDER ON RECORD SINCE 1871
#523
Posted 18 October 2009 - 02:03 AM
mike2010, on 18 October 2009 - 03:01 AM, said:
Someone pointed this out in another thread.
Just checked for myself & am baffled that the current RUC analysis has the low currently 7 to 8 MB's stronger than both the NAM and GFS predicted at this time -

Just checked for myself & am baffled that the current RUC analysis has the low currently 7 to 8 MB's stronger than both the NAM and GFS predicted at this time -

What?!??!?!?!??!?! :o
Just by looking at this, I know some surprises are coming and a potential bust is possible. :guitar:
Bring on the cold air.
#526
Posted 18 October 2009 - 02:07 AM
mikes923, on 18 October 2009 - 03:05 AM, said:
Could someone translate this map into words for me. Im bad with maps like this :(
It's basically inferring that the low pressure is stronger(lower barometric pressure) than progged(forecasted) and cold air could drain into the area more quickly resulting in a surprise snowstorm for someone.
Have fun everyone. :snowman:
#530
Posted 18 October 2009 - 02:14 AM
Im pretty sure were going to hear in the early morning discussions that the storm has slowed down some and strengthen more that expected. Its still currently over the gulf stream. Storms love to stay over warm water.
0z GFS hinted at this also. Especially with the 30 to 36 hour forecasts where it almost looked like its trying to retrograde the Low once its just east of long island. Which is always a possibility.
Another reason why I think it slowed down.. Precip was suppose to start here atleast 6 hours ago. still nothing.
0z GFS hinted at this also. Especially with the 30 to 36 hour forecasts where it almost looked like its trying to retrograde the Low once its just east of long island. Which is always a possibility.
Another reason why I think it slowed down.. Precip was suppose to start here atleast 6 hours ago. still nothing.
#535
Posted 18 October 2009 - 02:28 AM
skierinvermont, on 18 October 2009 - 02:44 AM, said:
There are 3 thermometers in the area at 34 one at 35. It's dynamics. Cold upper atmosphere.
I was 37/37 when I woke up on the morning of 10/28/08, (the October snow-deluge in NJ)and I was able to dynamically cool just fine to 32 degrees. It didn't happen by magic.
#536
Posted 18 October 2009 - 02:30 AM
psuhoffman, on 18 October 2009 - 03:27 AM, said:
34 and snowing hard here in Manchester. Ground is white, about a quarter inch coating on everything now, real pretty. Unbelievable for this time of year. Where is Marcus, he lives just 2 miles up the road from me?
Congrats PsuHoffman....Im Damn near 60 Miles North of you and its Raining here Briefly Had some wet flakes all Mod rain.... Do you think Hanover is seeing Snow Yet?


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