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What tonight should of been like Rate Topic: -----

#1 User is online   Ji Icon

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Weather Observations
21.0 F (-6.1 C)

Wind is
Southwest at 4.6 MPH (4 KT)
Humidity:
74%
Pressure:
1021.0mb
Visibility:
10.00 mile(s)
Conditions:
Overcast
Location:
KIAD
Updated:
Feb 9 2010, 8:52 am EST

Data Source: NWS

Posted 21 March 2008 - 09:16 PM

1) 1200-1500 users on at once ready for the 00z model suite
2) Radio Show
3) 84 hour NAM showing 983 low near Hatterras
4) GFS finally catching on, showing purple qpf colors over the Mid Atlantic
5) HM talking UVV's and Deform zone
6) HPC talking about rare March Blizzard for Mid Atlantic with 1-2 foot possibilities
7) JB headline" SPRING EAST COAST BLIZZARD UPDATE
8) EURO for 4th straight day showing a closed low in the SE and a blizzard for the East Coast
9) TV guys starting to catch on....

Instead

we see this

Posted Image

#2 User is offline   marylandwx Icon

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Posted 21 March 2008 - 09:24 PM

:thumbsdown: Why don't you just rub tabasco sauce in my eyes while you're at it.

#3 User is online   amy767 Icon

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Weather Observations
27.0 F (-2.8 C)

Wind is
West at 4.6 MPH (4 KT)
Humidity:
61%
Pressure:
1017.8mb
Visibility:
10.00 mile(s)
Conditions:
Fair
Location:
kbdr
Updated:
Feb 9 2010, 8:52 am EST

Data Source: NWS

Posted 21 March 2008 - 09:25 PM

Yep, was definitely a bummer to see it go down the tubes, but it's one of THOSE winters!

#4 User is offline   TheWeatherZone Icon

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Weather Observations
27.0 F (-2.8 C)

Wind is
Northwest at 5.8 MPH (5 KT)
Humidity:
61%
Pressure:
1019.9mb
Visibility:
10.00 mile(s)
Conditions:
Partly Cloudy
Location:
KPHL
Updated:
Feb 9 2010, 8:54 am EST

Data Source: NWS

Posted 21 March 2008 - 09:25 PM

It would not have been as bad if the GFS had the storm and the Euro did not. The GFS said No, and it was right.

#5 User is offline   NJHurricane Icon

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Weather Observations
27.0 F (-2.8 C)

Wind is
Northwest at 5.8 MPH (5 KT)
Humidity:
61%
Pressure:
1019.9mb
Visibility:
10.00 mile(s)
Conditions:
Partly Cloudy
Location:
KPHL
Updated:
Feb 9 2010, 8:54 am EST

Data Source: NWS

Posted 21 March 2008 - 09:26 PM

Yeah...maybe if tonight was 6 weeks ago.

Actually, in early spring snow chances evaporating is exactly what this should be like.

#6 User is offline   Midlo, va. home snow maker Icon

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Weather Observations
27.0 F (-2.8 C)

Wind is
Calm
Humidity:
78%
Pressure:
1021.1mb
Visibility:
10.00 mile(s)
Conditions:
Overcast
Location:
KRIC
Updated:
Feb 9 2010, 7:54 am EST

Data Source: NWS

Posted 21 March 2008 - 09:31 PM

View PostJi, on Mar 21 2008, 10:16 PM, said:

1) 1200-1500 users on at once ready for the 00z model suite
2) Radio Show
3) 84 hour NAM showing 983 low near Hatterras
4) GFS finally catching on, showing purple qpf colors over the Mid Atlantic
5) HM talking UVV's and Deform zone
6) HPC talking about rare March Blizzard for Mid Atlantic with 1-2 foot possibilities
7) JB headline" SPRING EAST COAST BLIZZARD UPDATE
8) EURO for 4th straight day showing a closed low in the SE and a blizzard for the East Coast
9) TV guys starting to catch on....

Instead

we see this

:lmao: so true man, i am with ya this is just another kick in the azz :thumbsdown:



oh and congrats weathervswife

Posted Image

#7 User is online   amy767 Icon

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Weather Observations
27.0 F (-2.8 C)

Wind is
West at 4.6 MPH (4 KT)
Humidity:
61%
Pressure:
1017.8mb
Visibility:
10.00 mile(s)
Conditions:
Fair
Location:
kbdr
Updated:
Feb 9 2010, 8:52 am EST

Data Source: NWS

Posted 21 March 2008 - 09:32 PM

Weekend rule was not in effect either, so it had no chance! LOL. Also hard to get big east coast lows with a strong La Nina if I am not mistaken?

#8 User is offline   ma blizzard Icon

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Posted 21 March 2008 - 09:33 PM

maybe next winter..

#9 User is online   ORH_wxman Icon

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Posted 21 March 2008 - 09:44 PM

View PostMidlo, va. home snow maker, on Mar 21 2008, 09:31 PM, said:

oh and congrats weathervswife


Congrats Midlo and SNE. Tough luck for everyone in between.


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#10 User is offline   Demeter Icon

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Weather Observations
38.0 F (3.3 C)

Wind is
North at 6.9 MPH (6 KT)
Humidity:
76%
Pressure:
1017.2mb
Visibility:
10.00 mile(s)
Conditions:
Overcast
Location:
22408
Updated:
Feb 9 2010, 8:53 am EST

Data Source: NWS

Posted 21 March 2008 - 09:48 PM

View PostORH_wxman, on Mar 21 2008, 10:44 PM, said:

Congrats Midlo and SNE. Tough luck for everyone in between.



That is pretty much how it has been all winter, why would it change now :) I have been stuck in the NO-SNOW hole

#11 User is offline   metfan4life Icon

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Weather Observations
32.0 F (0.0 C)

Wind is
Northwest at 12.7 MPH (11 KT)
Humidity:
54%
Pressure:
1018.4mb
Visibility:
10.00 mile(s)
Conditions:
A Few Clouds
Location:
KJFK
Updated:
Feb 9 2010, 8:51 am EST

Data Source: NWS

Posted 21 March 2008 - 10:01 PM

I was ready for staying up very late this weekend and tracking this bad boy. O well

:thumbsdown:

#12 User is offline   BCBC Icon

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Posted 21 March 2008 - 10:19 PM

You're not called KING of all WEINERS for nothing.

Oh, and it's "what tonight should HAVE been like," dummy.
:gun_bandana:

#13 User is online   mitchnick Icon

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Weather Observations
24.0 F (-4.4 C)

Wind is
Northeast at 4.6 MPH (4 KT)
Humidity:
68%
Pressure:
1020.0mb
Visibility:
10.00 mile(s)
Conditions:
Mostly Cloudy
Location:
KBWI
Updated:
Feb 9 2010, 8:54 am EST

Data Source: NWS

Posted 21 March 2008 - 10:20 PM

IOW JI, you/we have to deal with reality. It will make you stronger, I'm sure.

#14 User is offline   Organizing Low Icon

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Posted 21 March 2008 - 10:23 PM

View Postmitchnick, on Mar 21 2008, 11:20 PM, said:

IOW JI, you/we have to deal with reality. It will make you stronger, I'm sure.


:arrowhead:

#15 User is offline   jhamps10 Icon

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Weather Observations
26.0 F (-3.1 C)

Wind is
Calm
Humidity:
97%
Pressure:
1020.4mb
Visibility:
1.75 mile(s)
Conditions:
Light Snow
Location:
KFOA
Updated:
Feb 9 2010, 7:46 am CST

Data Source: NWS

Posted 21 March 2008 - 10:26 PM

View Postmitchnick, on Mar 21 2008, 10:20 PM, said:

IOW JI, you/we have to deal with reality. It will make you stronger, I'm sure.


we're talking about ji... anything without a storm only makes him weaker.... :popcorn:

but in all seriousness, it is a bummer for you guys I'm sure, but at least you know there will be next winter...

#16 User is offline   HM Icon

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Weather Observations
25.0 F (-3.9 C)

Wind is
Northwest at 5.8 MPH (5 KT)
Humidity:
63%
Pressure:
1019.0mb
Visibility:
10.00 mile(s)
Conditions:
Fair
Location:
KTTN
Updated:
Feb 9 2010, 7:53 am EST

Data Source: NWS

Posted 22 March 2008 - 12:01 AM

I dont think anything felt more heart breaking than the MAR 2001 disaster. Nothing before and since has come close to affecting me. I have (and im sure a lot in the mid atlantic) witnessed my fair share of heart breaks but they usually dont affect too much... I remember the MAR 2001 storm actually making me really down for a couple of days ...

All that hype, wasted energy and wasted potential .... what looked so good so close... it was the opposite of JAN 2000 ....

So this current situation is a BREEZE in comparison and certainly no where need the magnitude of that upset.

OH and speaking of VVs and deformation zones ... watch SE VA / NC w/ this near miss. Strong PVA here, near deformation zone create some VVs and potential for snow.

#17 User is offline   Typhoon_Tip Icon

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Posted 22 March 2008 - 12:05 AM

View PostHM, on Mar 22 2008, 12:01 AM, said:

I dont think anything felt more heart breaking than the MAR 2001 disaster. Nothing before and since has come close to affecting me. I have (and im sure a lot in the mid atlantic) witnessed my fair share of heart breaks but they usually dont affect too much... I remember the MAR 2001 storm actually making me really down for a couple of days ...

All that hype, wasted energy and wasted potential .... what looked so good so close... it was the opposite of JAN 2000 ....

So this current situation is a BREEZE in comparison and certainly no where need the magnitude of that upset.

OH and speaking of VVs and deformation zones ... watch SE VA / NC w/ this near miss. Strong PVA here, near deformation zone create some VVs and potential for snow.


I can help you with why that storm failed if you are ever interested... That goes for everyone else, too.

hint: there's a sneaking teleconnector not yet defined, or recognized, in the Caribbean. it's origin is probably south of the tropic of cancer.

#18 User is offline   HM Icon

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Weather Observations
25.0 F (-3.9 C)

Wind is
Northwest at 5.8 MPH (5 KT)
Humidity:
63%
Pressure:
1019.0mb
Visibility:
10.00 mile(s)
Conditions:
Fair
Location:
KTTN
Updated:
Feb 9 2010, 7:53 am EST

Data Source: NWS

Posted 22 March 2008 - 12:08 AM

View PostTyphoon_Tip, on Mar 22 2008, 12:05 AM, said:

I can help you with why that storm failed if you are ever interested... That goes for everyone else, too.

hint: there's a sneaking teleconnector not yet defined, or recognized, in the Caribbean. it's origin is probably south of the tropic of cancer.


I am not sure if you are being sarcastic here or not ....

anywho...

The storm failed in the mid atlantic b/c of the modeling ---- s/w rounding the base of the PV lobe didnt phase.

#19 User is offline   Chris L Icon

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Posted 22 March 2008 - 12:09 AM

View PostTyphoon_Tip, on Mar 22 2008, 01:05 AM, said:

I can help you with why that storm failed if you are ever interested... That goes for everyone else, too.

hint: there's a sneaking teleconnector not yet defined, or recognized, in the Caribbean. it's origin is probably south of the tropic of cancer.


The 582 dm not conductive to cyclogenesis?

#20 User is offline   Typhoon_Tip Icon

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Posted 22 March 2008 - 12:19 AM

View PostHM, on Mar 22 2008, 12:08 AM, said:

I am not sure if you are being sarcastic here or not ....

anywho...

The storm failed in the mid atlantic b/c of the modeling ---- s/w rounding the base of the PV lobe didnt phase.


No sarcasm! And...yes, failed because models do not account for rare cross-Equatorial mid level flow.
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