[janetjanet998]

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200512_5day.gif

[offshore moflo]

janetjanet998, on Aug 26 2005, 09:52 PM, said:

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200512_5day.gif

Looks like Biloxi to me.... not NO

Bye Bye Beau Rivage

[WX4caster88]

:o It might be time for those people in NO to take a little 5 day vacation, and Biloxi too.

[Lookout]

WX4caster88, on Aug 26 2005, 10:54 PM, said:

:o  It might be time for those people in NO to take a little 5 day vacation, and Biloxi too.

unbelievable that in 12 short hours the forecast has track has shifted from the florida panhandle to the MS delta of LA.

[WX4caster88]

Lookout, on Aug 26 2005, 10:57 PM, said:

unbelievable that in 12 short hours the forecast has track has shifted from the florida panhandle to the MS delta of LA.

and it also looks like we miss the brunt of the rain, but as we all know, things change and this could very well too

[janetjanet998]

WX4caster88, on Aug 26 2005, 09:58 PM, said:

and it also looks like we miss the brunt of the rain, but as we all know, things change and this could very well too

Therefore...the official forecast brings
Katrina to 115 knots...or a category four on the Saffir-Simpson
hurricane scale. The GFDL is more aggressive and calls for 124
knots and 922 mb. The FSU superensemble is even more aggressive
bringing Katrina to 131 knots.
:lmaosmiley:

[MallowTheCloud]

The most telling part:

NHC said:

DATA FROM THE
NOAA JET JUST RELAYED BY THE METEOROLOGIST ONBOARD INDICATE THAT
THE HIGH CONTINUES TO BE VERY STRONG. HOWEVER...THIS FEATURE IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD AND LEAVE A WEAKNESS OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO.  KATRINA WILL LIKELY TAKE THAT OPPORTUNITY AND
BEGIN TO TURN GRADUALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN
NORTHWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BRINGS THE CORE OF THE INTENSE
HURRICANE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO IN 48 HOURS OR SO.
IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT THE GUIDANCE SPREAD HAS DECREASED AND MOST
OF THE RELIABLE NUMERICAL MODEL TRACKS ARE NOW CLUSTERED BETWEEN
THE EASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA AND THE COAST OF MISSISSIPPI.  THIS
CLUSTERING INCREASES THE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST.

[Lookout]

WX4caster88, on Aug 26 2005, 10:58 PM, said:

and it also looks like we miss the brunt of the rain, but as we all know, things change and this could very well too

well im still expecting some good feeder band precip into the southern appalachians but its always hard to gauge how these feeder bands will behave once the storm is inland. i do expect the usual dry air to wrap around the system and shunt the feeder bands to the southeast of the center as it moves north, bringing any primary feeder bands over Georgia into the mountains for a time period. but the relatively quick movement to the northeast will limit the heaviest amounts to the mountains imo.

[jm1220]

Wow. This is truly scary. Hit New Orleans and millions of people, or hit the main oil refinery in the Gulf at Pascagoula and the resorts on the Mississippi coast. This is gonna be devastating for somebody.

[Rib]

time to evacuate pittsburgh

[capecod04]

jm1220, on Aug 26 2005, 10:02 PM, said:

Wow. This is truly scary. Hit New Orleans and millions of people, or hit the main oil refinery in the Gulf at Pascagoula and the resorts on the Mississippi coast. This is gonna be devastating for somebody.

Could be both!! Just what we need here in the states, another reason for a price hike in oil.. :rolleyes:

[CalUWxBill]

rob_22, on Aug 26 2005, 11:02 PM, said:

time to evacuate pittsburgh

We arleady had to last week due to some pretty heavy flooding. ;)

[Upslope]

The NHC is just model hugging!!!!!

Joking of course! :bike:

[Rib]

CalUWxBill, on Aug 26 2005, 11:04 PM, said:

We arleady had to last week due to some pretty heavy flooding. ;)

ivansaywhat?

[Lookout]

capecod04, on Aug 26 2005, 11:03 PM, said:

Could be both!! Just what we need here in the states, another reason for a price hike in oil.. :rolleyes:

correct me if im wrong but wouldnt it take quite a long time to evecuate all of new orleans? if they plan to do it, they better start the process now.

[Rib]

hey bill, remember ivan last year? what i remember is that it was quite cold and walking home from trop met during the worst of it was fun. had to have had some ts winds there for a bit

[jamessa]

ConnMan, on Aug 26 2005, 10:08 PM, said:

It's darn close to NO, looks like first landfall in SE LA, then that slight curve brings it more east.

They will prob. start to get people out of NO when it turns. Untill then it is just going to shift more to the west.

[CalUWxBill]

rob_22, on Aug 26 2005, 11:07 PM, said:

hey bill, remember ivan last year? what i remember is that it was quite cold and walking home from trop met during the worst of it was fun. had to have had some ts winds there for a bit

TS force winds? They were pretty heavy. I would say 30 mph maybe.