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torch cometh - Eastern US Weather Forums

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torch cometh


21 replies to this topic

#1 usedtobe

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Posted 21 October 2010 - 10:57 AM

Gibbs has been advertising a torch coming late this weekend into next week and that looks good based on the 850 temps from both the 00Z gfs and euro. Below I've posted the euro that Gibbs showed in another thread.

Attached File  Euro_oct_torch_1.gif (64.47K)
Number of downloads: 1

Attached File  euro_torch_2.gif (65.54K)
Number of downloads: 0

Hopefully, it's not the template for this winter. 80 degrees certainly looks doable based on the prog. If this is a template, let's hope for a 19-73-1974 winter.

Attached File  la_nina_1973-1974.png (131.01K)
Number of downloads: 1

Where we got 16.7 inches of snow at dca despite the torch rather than a 1975-1976 winter which had a cold start with no snow and then a no snow torch for 2.2 inches of snow for the season. 1973 there was a big dec storm with more than 10 inches dec 16-17.

#2 mitchnick

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Posted 21 October 2010 - 11:47 AM

no doubt it will get warm, but this kind of heat is not uncommon in Octobers around DCA/BWI considering record highs for October at DCA are in the low to mid 80's
as for whether it will be a template, I think 95/96 proved to me that no matter how cold and snowy we may be in a NINA, we're going to have our fair share of well above normal periods; and we are most assuredly guaranteed to have more warmth this winter than 95/96 had
don't get me wrong, I'd prefer cool/cold over warmth, but the homeowner/wx weenie reminds me that there's no chance of decent snow this early in the season so at least we're not "wasting" cold air nor $ on G&E bills

#3 RIC Airport

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Posted 21 October 2010 - 12:47 PM

Bring it on.

And here's hoping for a 1973-74 style winter as well....even if it does feature wide swings in temps. There was also a snowstorm a few days earlier on 12/11/73 that hit Richmond with 4.9" of snow. Funny how we almost hit 60°F between the two snowstorms, though. One other intestesting fact, is that we hit 3°F on the 18th.....the 4th coldest December day on record. Two decent early season snowstorms totaling 10" and another in early February for a season total of 15.6" isn't too bad for us.

As long as a carbon copy of 1975-76 doesn't unfold. Richmond only received 1.1" of snow and hit 70°F 13 times that winter (DJF).....the most on record for any winter.

#4 MN transplant

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Posted 21 October 2010 - 12:49 PM

DCA records for M-F

25  80 /1902 
26  82 /1978+ 
27  83 /1963 
28  87 /1919 
29  82 /1918 


#5 nysnowman

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Posted 21 October 2010 - 01:07 PM

View Postmitchnick, on 21 October 2010 - 11:47 AM, said:

no doubt it will get warm, but this kind of heat is not uncommon in Octobers around DCA/BWI considering record highs for October at DCA are in the low to mid 80's
as for whether it will be a template, I think 95/96 proved to me that no matter how cold and snowy we may be in a NINA, we're going to have our fair share of well above normal periods; and we are most assuredly guaranteed to have more warmth this winter than 95/96 had
don't get me wrong, I'd prefer cool/cold over warmth, but the homeowner/wx weenie reminds me that there's no chance of decent snow this early in the season so at least we're not "wasting" cold air nor $ on G&E bills

Totally agree,it has gotten this warm before...it is only October!

#6 mitchnick

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Posted 21 October 2010 - 01:29 PM

View PostMN transplant, on 21 October 2010 - 12:49 PM, said:

DCA records for M-F

25  80 /1902 
26  82 /1978+ 
27  83 /1963 
28  87 /1919 
29  82 /1918 



2 fantastic snow years of that group and 3 bad ones (neither fantastic one was a NINA, however)

#7 Midlo, va. home snow maker

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Posted 21 October 2010 - 10:25 PM

records for RIC not quite

forecasted
FCST     FCST     FCST     FCST     FCST     
  SUN      MON      TUE      WED      THU
  OCT 24   OCT 25   OCT 26   OCT 27   OCT 28
  RICHMOND
  PTCLDY   MOCLDY   MOCLDY   PTCLDY   PTCLDY
  52/78    58/78    60/79    61/81    60/77


record hi and and hi mins
SUN       MON      TUE      WED      THU
  OCT 24   OCT 25   OCT 26   OCT 27   OCT 28
  65/86     66/83   63/83    66/88    68/87


#8 Coach McGuirk

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Posted 22 October 2010 - 02:54 PM

Ah crap, more summer.

#9 usedtobe

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Posted 23 October 2010 - 08:41 AM

MOS has dca 78 on Tuesday and 79 on Wed. The warmest it gets at IAD is 78 on Wed. Whether we eek up to 80 may depend on clouds and for sure wind direction.

#10 Ellinwood

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Posted 24 October 2010 - 01:44 AM

81 Wednesday per 00z GFS.

#11 usedtobe

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Posted 24 October 2010 - 08:58 AM

View PostEllinwood, on 24 October 2010 - 01:44 AM, said:

81 Wednesday per 00z GFS.


:thumbsup: I thought it might get there. It still depends somewhat on how much sun we get.

#12 WVWX

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Posted 24 October 2010 - 01:38 PM

Up to 78 already at OKV...

#13 Coach McGuirk

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Posted 25 October 2010 - 09:10 PM

Forecast of 81 Tuesday and 84 Wednesday.

#14 usedtobe

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Posted 26 October 2010 - 04:21 PM

Looks like no 80s with this supposed torch. Comfy by no memorable or even overly torchlike. Usedtobe fail.

#15 Ji

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Posted 26 October 2010 - 06:11 PM

Hopefully you will fail alot more this winter

#16 Coach McGuirk

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Posted 26 October 2010 - 10:29 PM

View Postusedtobe, on 26 October 2010 - 04:21 PM, said:

Looks like no 80s with this supposed torch. Comfy by no memorable or even overly torchlike. Usedtobe fail.

Still have Wednesday.

#17 Coach McGuirk

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Posted 27 October 2010 - 03:10 PM

86 in Norfolk. Old record high was 84.

#18 NVAWeather

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Posted 27 October 2010 - 10:06 PM

IAD Minimum for 10/27 was a +29 on the day. That's impressive!

#19 usedtobe

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Posted 29 October 2010 - 02:54 PM

Yesterday the max was 79 at dca and 78 at IAD. Pretty warm. I nudge 80 on my thermometer.

#20 Midlo, va. home snow maker

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Posted 29 October 2010 - 03:10 PM

records for RIC not quite

forecasted

FCST     FCST     FCST     FCST     FCST      
  SUN      MON      TUE      WED      THU 
  OCT 24   OCT 25   OCT 26   OCT 27   OCT 28 
  RICHMOND 
  PTCLDY   MOCLDY   MOCLDY   PTCLDY   PTCLDY 
  52/78    58/78    60/79    61/81    60/77
ACTUALS
SUN       MON      TUE      WED      THU 
  OCT 24   OCT 25   OCT 26   OCT 27   OCT 28 
  48/77    59/78    61/78     70/85    58/80


record hi and and hi mins

SUN       MON      TUE      WED      THU 
  OCT 24   OCT 25   OCT 26   OCT 27   OCT 28 
  65/86     66/83   63/83    66/88    68/87






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