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Invest 92L - Eastern US Weather Forums
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Invest 92L

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Strat747's Photo Strat747 10 Aug 2008

http://www.nrlmry.na...es/tc_home.html

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/in...al922008.invest

BEGIN
NHC
invest_al922008.invest

AL, 92, 2008081006, , BEST, 0, 108N, 413W, 25, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,

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Strat747's Photo Strat747 10 Aug 2008

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Lake Effect King's Photo Lake Effect King 10 Aug 2008

I'd have to think 93L will not be far behind! :thumbsup:
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obxsnowman's Photo obxsnowman 10 Aug 2008

Yeah...the 0Z GFS is much more bullish with the next disturbance east of 92. We'll see.
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Strat747's Photo Strat747 10 Aug 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2008

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. SOME
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 TO 20 MPH.
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HurricaneJosh's Photo HurricaneJosh 10 Aug 2008

:sun:
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Strat747's Photo Strat747 10 Aug 2008

I think the initial focus was on the impressive area to the SW of the Cape Verde Islands yesterday evening. While this future invest was relatively tiny.

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Strat747's Photo Strat747 10 Aug 2008

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LVblizzard's Photo LVblizzard 10 Aug 2008

SHIPS guidance takes 92L up to 96 kt in 120 hours...
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Strat747's Photo Strat747 10 Aug 2008

Floater is now over the system. http://www.ssd.noaa....ROP/float1.html

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Strat747's Photo Strat747 10 Aug 2008

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT SUN 10 AUGUST 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z AUGUST 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-071

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
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wxmx's Photo wxmx 10 Aug 2008

There's some easterly shear over 92L ATTM. You can see the low level turning between 10-11 N and around 43W on visible satellite imagery. Looks like the probable LLC is in the eastern edge of the convection. There's a developing anticyclone aloft just to the northeast of 92L...if it stacks on top of it, that would mark the beginning of some significant intensification.
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Strat747's Photo Strat747 10 Aug 2008

Not sure if the analog track image will come up. http://moe.met.fsu.e...008_analogs.png

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HurricaneJosh's Photo HurricaneJosh 10 Aug 2008

Wide view-- looks pretty good:

Attached File  avn_l.jpg (159.13K)
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obxsnowman's Photo obxsnowman 10 Aug 2008

I'm impressed. Looks like it's trying to develop. Here's hoping for an active period ahead! :thumbsup:
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LVblizzard's Photo LVblizzard 10 Aug 2008

Hmmmmm.

Attached File  al922008_inten.png (15.41K)
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obxsnowman's Photo obxsnowman 10 Aug 2008

12Z GFS has 92 approaching the northern islands in 72 hours, albeit weak. It's still developing the next disturbance into a strong cyclone.
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Eyewall2005's Photo Eyewall2005 10 Aug 2008

Continues to improve organization wise.NHC might go with a TD could form during the next day or two.

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Eyewall2005's Photo Eyewall2005 10 Aug 2008

Updated UKMET....

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turtlehurricane's Photo turtlehurricane 10 Aug 2008

View PostDTwxrisk, on Aug 10 2008, 01:34 PM, said:

I am trying to figure out why this has not been declared a TD already

It's still kinda broad.

I think a TD will be declared sometime tomorrow. It's definitely well on its way.
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