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Invest 92L - Eastern US Weather Forums

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Invest 92L

Started by Strat747, Aug 10 2008 05:55 AM

2362 replies to this topic

#1 Strat747

    'Madagascar, I mean Belize or bust!'

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 05:55 AM

http://www.nrlmry.na...es/tc_home.html

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/in...al922008.invest

BEGIN
NHC
invest_al922008.invest

AL, 92, 2008081006, , BEST, 0, 108N, 413W, 25, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,

Posted Image

#2 Strat747

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 06:07 AM

Posted Image
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#3 Lake Effect King

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 06:07 AM

I'd have to think 93L will not be far behind! :thumbsup:

#4 obxsnowman

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 06:16 AM

Yeah...the 0Z GFS is much more bullish with the next disturbance east of 92. We'll see.

#5 Strat747

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 06:50 AM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2008

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. SOME
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 TO 20 MPH.

#6 HurricaneJosh

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 07:12 AM

:sun:

#7 Strat747

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 07:22 AM

I think the initial focus was on the impressive area to the SW of the Cape Verde Islands yesterday evening. While this future invest was relatively tiny.

Posted Image

#8 Strat747

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 08:07 AM

Posted Image

#9 LVblizzard

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 08:16 AM

SHIPS guidance takes 92L up to 96 kt in 120 hours...

#10 Strat747

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 09:11 AM

Floater is now over the system. http://www.ssd.noaa....ROP/float1.html

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#11 Strat747

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 09:58 AM

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT SUN 10 AUGUST 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z AUGUST 2008
TCPOD NUMBER.....08-071

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

#12 wxmx

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 10:09 AM

There's some easterly shear over 92L ATTM. You can see the low level turning between 10-11 N and around 43W on visible satellite imagery. Looks like the probable LLC is in the eastern edge of the convection. There's a developing anticyclone aloft just to the northeast of 92L...if it stacks on top of it, that would mark the beginning of some significant intensification.

#13 Strat747

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 10:15 AM

Not sure if the analog track image will come up. http://moe.met.fsu.e...008_analogs.png

Posted Image

#14 HurricaneJosh

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 10:33 AM

Wide view-- looks pretty good:

Attached File  avn_l.jpg (159.13K)
Number of downloads: 1

#15 obxsnowman

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 10:37 AM

I'm impressed. Looks like it's trying to develop. Here's hoping for an active period ahead! :thumbsup:

#16 LVblizzard

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 11:02 AM

Hmmmmm.

Attached File  al922008_inten.png (15.41K)
Number of downloads: 4

#17 obxsnowman

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 11:03 AM

12Z GFS has 92 approaching the northern islands in 72 hours, albeit weak. It's still developing the next disturbance into a strong cyclone.

#18 Eyewall2005

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 12:29 PM

Continues to improve organization wise.NHC might go with a TD could form during the next day or two.

Posted Image

#19 Eyewall2005

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 12:52 PM

Updated UKMET....

Posted Image

#20 turtlehurricane

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Posted 10 August 2008 - 12:52 PM

 DTwxrisk, on Aug 10 2008, 01:34 PM, said:

I am trying to figure out why this has not been declared a TD already

It's still kinda broad.

I think a TD will be declared sometime tomorrow. It's definitely well on its way.
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