[gkrangers]

Is that an outer eyewall beginning to form ?

[YoRyz]

MallowTheCloud, on Aug 21 2007, 01:30 AM, said:

526z Radar Image

Mallow, my primitive attempt to loop those images shows it's moving a little N of W, like maybe 275 degrees.

[Ridingtime]

Well right when it starts to hit I have to sign out. I'm getting a cold and sleep is my remedy. I have to start college and classes tomorrow too, so I have to travel up back there, and I don't want to do that while I am sick.

So best of luck, I will try to read the juicy pages of this forum tomorrow. I am hoping to see a nice big post eventually about your experience. Like detailed analysis of when each thing occurred. That will satisfy me even without good pics or video.

Jonathan

[peribonca]

how long till we get satellite images back?
I'm staying up for this recon.
I think 908mb, 165mph

[Coastal BECS]

Josh, still looks like its heading due west for you. hang in there man. Its going to be the scariest rollar coaster ride you have ever ridden.

[uofmiami]

uofmiami, on Aug 21 2007, 12:30 AM, said:

Btwn 12:30 to 1:00 am your time, winds should pick up dramatically and gusts should get into hurricane force range +

Looks like Josh's obs are going well with my call! Good luck Josh and keep us updated until the power goes down. Look forward to hearing from you after you've experienced this monster.

[trwxxa]

Josh,

From GOES-West at 05z...center about 100nm east of your location. 45nm east of the Island along the coast (Name?).

Regards, duck and cover....

Mike

[MallowTheCloud]

These satellites are still updating... unfortunately, Chetamul is just outside the range of both of them:
http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satellite/...le&itype=ir
http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satellite/...le&itype=ir

[YoRyz]

I took a sleeping pill about 3hours ago. I'm bobbing & weaving, but I have to hang in there to see what happens. I should've known better.

[40/70 Benchmark]

gkrangers, on Aug 21 2007, 01:32 AM, said:

Is that an outer eyewall beginning to form ?

Doesn't matter at this point.

[Ian]

 Untitled_6.gif (110.51K)
Number of downloads: 12

[MallowTheCloud]

johnhowell, on Aug 20 2007, 10:32 PM, said:

That radar sucks.

Find me a better one and I'll use it.

[profgoose]

The latest models take Dean right over Cantarell as a low end Cat 2. Here's the our google mashup with the data:
http://www.theoildrum.com/files/20070820_2200EDT_PeakWinds.jpg

Below is a link to all of our information on Mexico's oil, gas, and infrastructure. We welcome any insights you all can provide.

http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2905

[~Floydbuster]

Josh, we are wishing you the best, man. Here comes your Category 5 hurricane. Be SAFE!

[NJHurricane]

YoRyz, on Aug 21 2007, 12:35 AM, said:

I took a sleeping pill about 3hours ago. I'm bobbing & weaving, but I have to hang in there to see what happens. I should've known better.

I have to leave for about 20 minutes....great timing :arrowhead:

[Lookout]

Can someone load that radar loop as an attachment? It's so incredibly slow to load.

Looking at it however looks like its heading right for josh.

[uofmiami]

That is on a long range radar, the beam is probably only seeing some of the rain. It's unfortunate there is no Belize radar, I looked to no avail!

[listarz]

YoRyz, on Aug 21 2007, 01:35 AM, said:

I took a sleeping pill about 3hours ago. I'm bobbing & weaving, but I have to hang in there to see what happens. I should've known better.

Lunesta? I take that, not tonight though. I know the bobbing and weaving feeling! :arrowhead:

[Powderhound21]

if it only gets upped to 165 im gonna shoot myself for staying up so late. I want 170.

[ncwxlvr]

Recon at 1:35am EDT. 120 miles S of Cancun (19.42N 86.68W). Winds 95kn at 700mb(9980ft). SFMR reporting surface winds around 60kn.